MS Vista Sales Slump

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According to HardwareAnalysis.com:

Microsoft is hard at work trying to make Vista sales look good to the shareholders and uphold an image of a successful launch. The truth of the matter is that Vista sales are so embarrassing that they even instructed all resellers and OEMs to stop offering PCs with XP starting end of 2007.

You can read more here:

http://www.hardwareanalysis.com/content/article/1852/

timjpriebe's picture

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So am I the only one who thinks that Vista is probably the beginning of the end for Microsoft? I'd always heard that the only things M$ makes money on is the OS and Office. Everything else is run at a loss. I don't have a specific source for that, though.

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timjpriebe;217983 wrote: So am I the only one who thinks that Vista is probably the beginning of the end for Microsoft? I'd always heard that the only things M$ makes money on is the OS and Office. Everything else is run at a loss. I don't have a specific source for that, though.

I think you're right about that, timjpriebe. I read that somewhere as well.

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I think the main reason why nobody is switching to Vista is XP works just fine for them and Vista is expensive. I think people who use Windows just want something that works, they don't need a fancy pantsy interface like on Vista. The people who do want something with a fancy cover probably would get a mac because that's the cool thing to do.

I hope it's not the beginning of the end. Microsoft produces very good products and I don't want to have to switch to a OS or office suite I'm not used to. Microsoft is doing a pretty good job competing against companies (I use that term lightly) that give their stuff away. That's pretty hard to do.

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Microsoft is nowhere near ending, as much as the Web hype would have you believe they are. Their share price is low, but overall they're still making stupid profits. Windows and Office are definitely their cash cows but the server division is also making good money. Found a recent report about it this that will show what I mean.

Vista is a rubbish, DRM-encumbered pile of toss. But most will be forced to use it when they buy a new machine.

Meanwhile their anti-competitive, borderline illegal activities help to maintain the monopoly.

So no, I doubt Microsoft will be disappearing soon. Smiling

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Abhishek Reddy's picture

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JeevesBond;217999 wrote: So no, I doubt Microsoft will be disappearing soon. Smiling

I attended a talk by Peter Gutmann (noted in one of your links) recently, in which he likened Microsoft's liable future to what IBM underwent during its own recession. While they may be around for a long time to come, they may not necessarily remain significant market players. Paul Graham seems to think it's happened already.

I agree that consumer dissatisfaction won't have a significant direct influence on Microsoft in all of this. Pressure will instead have to come from hardware OEMs, upon whom Microsoft are beginning to place impossible demands; for instance, implementing DRM features. More vendors may opt to supply non-MS software -- or no software at all -- simply because they can be more competitive and profitable that way. Could Vista/DRM be the last straw?

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Interesting responses. Does this mean you aren't using MS products, but Linux instead? I'm curious because I have obtained DVDs for Fedora, Knoppix and Ubuntu and have been playing around with them.

timjpriebe's picture

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Abhishek Reddy;218010 wrote: I attended a talk by Peter Gutmann (noted in one of your links) recently, in which he likened Microsoft's liable future to what IBM underwent during its own recession. While they may be around for a long time to come, they may not necessarily remain significant market players. Paul Graham seems to think it's happened already.

My thoughts exactly. That's more along the lines of what I meant when I said the beginning of the end. Not that they are going to disappear totally. They'll still have a significant presence for quite awhile, I just think this is going to be the beginning of a more distributed market share for OS's. Which is a good thing for the end user, but not necessarily for Microsoft.

Who knows, though? Maybe a more distributed market share for OS's will be the kick in the pants that M$ really needs.

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Abhi wrote: I attended a talk by Peter Gutmann (noted in one of your links) recently

I should note that he's an NZ'er like Busy, Renegade and Abhishek here. Great people those NZ'ers! Smiling

I too have heard the IBM/Microsoft comparison, it's interesting that back then IBM were seen as being the old guard and behind the times and Microsoft were progressive. Now the situation has flipped, IBM is selling GNU/Linux and Microsoft are the old guard. Many people are even converting the old: 'No-one got fired for buying IBM' line into 'No-one got fired for buying Microsoft'. Overall the comparison is a good one, in my opinion. Smiling

Abhi wrote: Pressure will instead have to come from hardware OEMs, upon whom Microsoft are beginning to place impossible demands

Not to mention the Dell petition and news they're finally going to start shipping home PC's with Linux pre-installed. A move that has no doubt sent chairs flying in Redmond.

rtroxel wrote: Interesting responses. Does this mean you aren't using MS products, but Linux instead?

Instead?! As far as I'm concerned Freedom is the only choice! Smiling

Don't worry, I'm writing that with a grin on my face! Fedora's quite good, they lack the community spirit of Ubuntu though. Knoppix is really a LiveCD for fixing broken computers, it can be used as a full desktop at a pinch. Ubuntu is the one you want to use, if you want the easy life that is. It's got a great community, and is definitely the most popular for GNU/Linux newbies (the wife and I both use it).

The next release is coming out on 19th of this month, I'm excited! Megan already has it on her laptop and I just built a server on it.

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Ubuntu, eh?

I have a DVD of version 6.06. I stopped playing with it because I couldn't get my Linksys wireless card to work with it. Do you know of a good card for Ubuntu?

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Tim wrote: Maybe a more distributed market share for OS's will be the kick in the pants that M$ really needs.

Well they are trying to destroy GNU/Linux by releasing a competing format to Flash, no doubt they'll be leveraging their dominance in the browser and OS markets to gain market share for this new format. It works on Windows and Mac but not GNU/Linux (unsuprisingly), what's annoying is that knowing Microsoft they're doing this with the sole purpose of shutting GNU/Linux out. They've also released a lot of new products recently, some that are gaining serious traction.

rtroxel wrote: I have a DVD of version 6.06. I stopped playing with it because I couldn't get my Linksys wireless card to work with it. Do you know of a good card for Ubuntu?

There's a page all about Wifi for Ubuntu. Complete with link to a list of supported network cards, with Amazon links. Smiling Unfortunately there are a number of prominent manufacturers who refuse to make drivers for GNU/Linux.

As for version 6.06, that's the LTS (long term support) release. It's stable and solid, but doesn't contain the latest stuff (things in the FLOSS world move fast), I advise you to get the latest version when it comes out tomorrow. Hopefully it'll fix your wireless issue too. Smiling

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There's a page all about Wifi for Ubuntu. Complete with link to a list of supported network cards, with Amazon links. Unfortunately there are a number of prominent manufacturers who refuse to make drivers for GNU/Linux.

As for version 6.06, that's the LTS (long term support) release. It's stable and solid, but doesn't contain the latest stuff (things in the FLOSS world move fast), I advise you to get the latest version when it comes out tomorrow. Hopefully it'll fix your wireless issue too.

Thanks, again!

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JeevesBond;218049 wrote: Well they are trying to destroy GNU/Linux by releasing a competing format to Flash.

I'm not sure Silverlight will be a huge problem. Flash is only reluctantly (putting it lightly) supported on GNU/Linux, and notably not supported on *BSD and others, since it's non-free. Unlike device drivers, reverse engineering a media spec is perhaps a little more feasible; hence we have gplflash and Gnash and WM9 codecs.

There is really no software strategy that can kill free software. The community has always dealt with these problems fairly successfully (GNU itself was an attempt to make a free *nix). In time, its capabilities and experience in keeping up with popular non-free software have grown and will continue to. Should Silverlight catch on, I'd expect a free client close behind.

The real danger comes from legal and social fronts. For example, folks like Microsoft seek to circumvent or modify "intellectual property" law to restrict development and sharing of free software. And they're pressuring hardware vendors into making free software support for their devices essentially impossible. This is why campaigns like defectivebydesign and badvista are so important.

Smiling

JeevesBond;218014 wrote: Not to mention the Dell petition and news they're finally going to start shipping home PC's with Linux pre-installed. A move that has no doubt sent chairs flying in Redmond.

Haha Laughing out loud

Incidentally, Dell already ship machines without any OS installed -- they come with FreeDOS packaged (but not supported). I hope this new venture will formalise support for free OSes on Dell.

HP and IBM already ship and support GNU/Linux in their catalogues, so this will round out choices in the market nicely.

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Abhi wrote: Should Silverlight catch on, I'd expect a free client close behind.

Then expect more FUD and extortion of money by Microsoft! No doubt competing will come with the price of infringing upon Microsoft 'Intellectual Property' some more.

Anyway this is about GNU/Linux for the masses and they expect stuff like this to 'just work'. This is what Microsoft are banking on I expect. Typically trying to compete by crushing the competition instead of actually doing anything new or innovative. Smiling

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Quote: Then expect more FUD and extortion of money by Microsoft! No doubt competing will come with the price of infringing upon Microsoft 'Intellectual Property' some more.

So Microsoft is trying to patent open source and Linux software? Isn't this what SCO tried to do a few years ago? You don't hear too much from them anymore.Laughing out loud

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rtroxel wrote: Isn't this what SCO tried to do a few years ago? You don't hear too much from them anymore.

Oh those cases are still very much alive. Although SCOs share price is below a dollar and they're risking being delisted from the stock exchange. They still haven't produced any evidence of their code being in Linux. Think you're right in one sense though: the whole debacle has become pretty much irrelevant. Smiling

Interestingly the attack on GNU/Linux is from Microsoft, using SCO as a proxy. The two attacks differ in their methods, SCO lawsuits are based on alleged copyright infringement. Microsoft allegations are based on software idea patent infringement. Software idea patents are so stupidly wide ranging that it's impossibe to write any software without infringing on other peoples patents. It's pretty certain that--maybe not 'Linux' itself (i.e. the kernel) but some of the software that runs on it--infringes on Microsoft patents (especially Samba, Mono and any other tools for that allow GNU/Linux systems to work with Windows).

Also SCO went for a direct attack whereas Microsoft is going for the extortion, protection racket style approach. I've heard rumours of companies being frightened of buying software from small FLOSS vendors because of all the FUD flying around (granted it was just some comment on Slashdot, but still). It's the old: 'no-one got fired for buying Microsoft' saying. Smiling

So overall: we seem (remember this is just my opinion, I would advise you to draw your own conclusions) to be seeing two different types of attack from the same company.

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Quote: So overall: we seem (remember this is just my opinion, I would advise you to draw your own conclusions) to be seeing two different types of attack from the same company.

Yes, but it's an informed opinion.

MS has also launched a public relations campaign, to prove that they really are the good guys. It's heavily supported by Warren Buffett, the second-wealthiest person in the US:

http://www.webmaster-forums.net/showthread.php?t=34802

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According to MarketWatch, Suppliers of DRAM chips "overforecasted Vista demand...". Consequently chip sales have been very slow this year.

You can read more here.

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If anyone is still keeping track, it's been a bad year for Vista:

http://news.com.com/2100-1016_3-6207375.html

Off-the-shelf boxed copies aren't selling well. Most sales are pre-installed versions in PCs.

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Anyone know how well Google Apps is doing?

Tried Vista and at the moment i think it's too different for everyone in the office to use without a lot of support. In fact, just got 2 laptops and downgraded to XP.

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Quote: Most sales are pre-installed versions in PCs.

Quote: In fact, just got 2 laptops and downgraded to XP.

I wonder how accurate those pre-installed sales even are because I often hear of people buying their computer, throwing Vista to the side, and installing XP.

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XP O/S has been the best operating system ever created, it has just what anyone should be looking for, that is why migrating to a new platform will be very very difficult.

It is just like telling your kids to exchange candy for chocolate. It is a matter of preference, and habits are really difficult to change. Bad for Vista... (Not bad using it, i have it running on my pc).

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I'd forgotten about this topic, it's timely because Microsoft did a lot of creative accounting to make Vista sales look good, and it's finally coming back to haunt them.

XP O/S has been the best operating system ever created,

Point taken, although that is subjective. For me my favourite Microsoft OS was Windows 2000, that's where I stopped using Microsoft OS'. Even my tech-n00b mum hated XP when she switched from 2000 recently. Apart from the embrace, extend, extinguish tactics on LDAP/Kerberos 2000 was a great OS, suppose it wasn't that widely used as a home OS though, most people going from Win98 straight to XP.

For me the best OS ever created is Ubuntu 8.04, there are still a couple of rough edges (if your hardware isn't supported), but otherwise this latest release is frickin' slick.

What's really telling is that PC sales are up, but Windows sales are down (by 24 percent). Could mean more and more people are going to do what I did with Win2000: make XP their last Microsoft OS. Flame on! Smiling

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That's a good idea for an Ubuntu campaign: Make XP your last Microsoft OS ever!

I hope it will be for me as well (hoping I won't be forced to use it again at work!)

pr0gr4mm3r's picture

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I got Windows Vista through my university about a year ago, but I never cared to install until a few days ago when I upgraded my computer hardware. Unfortunately, I will have to start learning it if I have to start supporting it. Sad

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I have to say most of the people I sell to want Xp. They do not like Vista's requirements nor do they care for the interface. The OS is way to "Fluffy" for them they do not need the bells and whistles. Most home users will never use them and they take so much memory to run.

A lot of people are complaining it crashed a lot also and their old programs will no longer work. Microsoft can not force it down their throats if they do not want it. Right now people are saying they do not want it.

This is an opportunity for Linux if they care to listen. They could grab people's attention and keep it if they do this right.

Of course this is my two cents and you can take it as you will.

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I'm primarily a Mac person, but my Windows computers have XP on them and work fine. (My dad has XP and see absolutely no reason to upgrade him to Vista... or is that downgrade? Hmmm.)

But my biggest gripe with Vista isn't really Vista itself. It's the start icon.

You know, that little green round thing on the bottom left of the screen's taskbar? See how it's a circle? See how that circle is cut off? That just bugs me.

~silverwing

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I bought a laptop (HP Pavilion dv9000 nice 17" screen) with Vista Home Premium

I have had to install a file manger app because Windows Explorer constantly crashes and freezes and when I went looking for a fix I found the same kludge I had already come up with, killing the explorer.exe process then restarting it as a new task with task manager.

It also loses the wifi networks (the dread "Windows cannot detect any networks" message but I remember that was also a problem in XP - but I think a little more in Vista)

Well, I do have Ubuntu installed and tried 4 or 5 recipes to enable my Broadcom wlan card (I know there have been lots of posts in these forums and I have a couple of new recipes to try when I get a chance)

I also read in PCWorld magazine (I admit I enjoy it and every issue has interesting links I found jango.com and meebo.com and a vulnerability in my HP software patch and ways to manage/disable UAC in Vista - so I guess it's worth it) anyway they said Microsoft is rushing out the next OS a couple of years ahead of schedule because of the Vista debacle - but isn't that too a potential recipe for disaster?

I am a cook so send me all your recipes... Smiling (vegetarian preferred)

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I was waiting for the day that people would realise just how rubbish Windows Longhorn, AKA Vista; actually is.

I have never liked it. The only exception to that was the first five minutes of it being installed and that is because i liked the way it looked . But wait!, i started to use vista now.... I hate it because it was just junked up and we are all basicly testing it and making complaints.

decibel.places's picture

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yes I admit I like the Aero translucent theme but an os is about operating not looking!

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I can remember when vista first came out i thought to myself why? i have just gotten comfortable with xp pro everything is hunky dory and no way am i going to make my life harder by purchasing an unecessary upgrade.

Obviously its all about money but aside from the fact that by all accounts it aint very good it was also i suspect way ahead of its time.

silverwing's picture

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There's a reason microsoft is referred to as M$

~silverwing

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Do you know of a good card for Ubuntu?

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